My prediction was the same as yours, except on IA and CO. (Of course, I was always going to be wrong on IA … silly me.)

VA was the one we both got wrong. The VA result is perhaps indicative of the ‘demographic shift’ that will shape US elections for years to come.

But FL is still in play for President, I see. That would make his tally 332.

It looks like he will win the popular vote by nearly 2%, so my ‘Rasmussen+2’ theory was not far off the mark.

@ Jim : Yes, I think that Romney would have had a better chance if he had been able to be more consistently the relative moderate that he is. Generally, I personally prefer the centre / centre-left approach, but having (at least) two credible parties is vital for democracy.

My other point, in all my growing up years I never once heard a sermon preached from the pulpit about elections. Never! Now it seems like most of the churches are getting involved in politics, and I think the most flagrant abusers are the Catholic Church and the Southern Baptists. The REALLY went after the gays and made sure to tell their congregants to VOTE for their Christian Faith. When I grew up we prayed for our country in church we NEVER prayed about elections. I clearly remember praying during times of National threats and I faintly remeber praying AFTER elections to give our new leaders heavenly guidance. Churches weren’t partisan back in the old days. This religiously lead attack on civil rights for sexual minorities has left a bitter pill in my mouth. Unless it is taking my parents to their church, after this vicious attack by the churches against sexual minorities, it will be a long long long time before I ever voluntarily step foot in a church again.

I can’t stop crying. America died.

Look for Karl Rove to analyze the election to death for the Republicans. I guess he is still hoping against hope that Romney gets Ohio. I wonder how Nate Silver’s predictions shook out.