On the polling data: I’ve noticed what I regard as something of an anomoly: while the candidates are currently neck-and-neck in the national poll spread (with Obama having a slight ‘edge’ in the EC projections), the President’s Job Approval rating is currently showng a +2.6% spread, with an approval rating of about 50%. More curious still is that, when Gallup was showing Romeny at +5, it was, on the same day, showing Obama Job Approval at +7 (on 51%).

Maybe I’m missing something here (I’m a simple soul at heart!), but this doesn’t seem to me to ‘match up’.

It’s not so easy just now to tell who is the hare and who is the tortoise! I’ve bought my popcorn!

I should also say at this point how saddened I am by the considerable loss of life, in both the Caribbean and the eastern United States, resulting from Super-storm Sandy. Over here, we were very struck by the fact that, at its zenith, it covered an area the size of western Europe.

Now that all the votes have been counted, Obama comes out at just under +3.7% over Romney, with nearly 5 million more votes for the Democratic ticket. RCP said “Obama +0.7%”; how did the polls get so wrong? (RCP was 3% out in 2008 as well: they said Obama +5.5%; the results gave Obama +8.5%.)

Obama won a whisker under 51% of the popular vote (Romney got 47.3%, others 1.7% between them). The win was not huge, but was decisive.

Now that all the votes have been counted, Obama comes out at just under +3.7% over Romney, with nearly 5 million more votes for the Democratic ticket. RCP said “Obama +0.7%”; how did the polls get so wrong? (RCP was 3% out in 2008 as well: they said Obama +5.5%; the results gave Obama +8.5%.)

Obama won a whisker under 51% of the popular vote (Romney got 47.3%, others 1.7% between them). The win was not huge, but was decisive.